2026 Midterms: Live Prediction Market Odds
Kalshi prices, updated Oct 19, 11:05 AM ET
Control of Congress
House control
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
11%
Senate control
Democratic Party
62%
Republican Party
39%
Congress balance of power
Democrats sweep
63%
D-House, R-Senate
29%
Republicans sweep
11%
R-House, D-Senate
0.7%
Busiest state races
Texas Senate race
James Talarico (D)
61%
503K contracts today
−1 pt
California Governor race
Xavier Becerra (D)
96%
230K contracts today
0
Michigan Senate race
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
69%
210K contracts today
−1 pt
Maine Senate race
Troy Jackson (D)
60%
99K contracts today
+2 pts
Minnesota Senate race
Peggy Flanagan (D)
85%
180K contracts today
−1 pt
South Carolina Senate race
Darline Graham (R)
83%
114K contracts today
+2 pts
New York Governor race
Kathy Hochul (D)
94%
135K contracts today
−1 pt
California Governor race (party)
Xavier Becerra (D)
96%
135K contracts today
0
Ohio Senate race
Sherrod Brown (D)
65%
58K contracts today
−1 pt
Kansas Senate race
Roger Marshall (R)
65%
45K contracts today
+3 pts
Texas Governor race
Greg Abbott (R)
76%
72K contracts today
0
Georgia Senate race
Jon Ossoff (D)
95%
62K contracts today
0
Biggest moves today
- Kansas Senate race Adam Hamilton (D) 39% +3 pts
- Congress balance of power Democrats sweep 63% +2 pts
- Maine Senate race Troy Jackson (D) 60% +2 pts
- Iowa Governor race Zach Lahn (R) 14% +2 pts
- South Carolina Senate race Annie Andrews (D) 18% +2 pts
All live race pages
Senate
- Georgia Senate race
- Iowa Senate race
- Kansas Senate race
- Maine Senate race
- Michigan Senate race
- Minnesota Senate race
- Mississippi Senate race
- Montana Senate race
- Nebraska Senate race
- New Hampshire Senate race
- North Carolina Senate race
- Ohio Senate race
- South Carolina Senate race
- Tennessee Senate race
- Texas Senate race
Governor
House
How to read these prices
Each contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and nothing if it does not, so a price of 62¢ means traders as a group put the chance at about 62%. Prices come from Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange, and change with every trade. What are prediction markets?
18+. Event contracts carry a risk of losing the money you put in. Prices reflect what traders pay, not a forecast or recommendation by MarketsGrade. For information only, not financial or legal advice.