PA-01 House Race 2026: Live Market Odds
On Kalshi, Bob Harvie (D) trades at 88% and Brian Fitzpatrick (R) at 13%.
Kalshi prices, updated Nov 3, 8:15 PM ET
| Outcome | Chance | 1-day change |
|---|---|---|
| Bob Harvie (D) |
88%
|
+33 pts |
| Brian Fitzpatrick (R) |
13%
|
−34 pts |
198K contracts traded in the last 24 hours, 662K in total.
Same race on Polymarket
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
| Bob Harvie (D) | 88% | 85% |
| Brian Fitzpatrick (R) | 13% | 14% |
Shown for comparison. Polymarket's contract ends November 4, 2026; Kalshi's resolves by January 4, 2027.
Can you trade this in your state?
Yes, in Ohio. Kalshi lists this market and accepts customers in Ohio. Status in Ohio: Contested (Kalshi Injunction Denied). Prediction markets in Ohio.
How to read these prices
Each contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and nothing if it does not, so a price of 62¢ means traders as a group put the chance at about 62%. Prices change with every trade.
How Kalshi settles it, Bob Harvie (D) contract: If the House member sworn in for PA-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
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