Senate Control 2026: Live Market Odds
On Kalshi, Democratic Party trades at 62% and Republican Party at 39%.
Kalshi prices, updated Oct 19, 10:05 AM ET
| Outcome | Chance | 1-day change |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party |
62%
|
0 |
| Republican Party |
39%
|
0 |
130K contracts traded in the last 24 hours, 15.5M in total.
Same race on Polymarket
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 62% | 65% |
| Republican Party | 39% | 37% |
Shown for comparison. Polymarket's contract ends November 4, 2026; Kalshi's resolves by February 1, 2027.
Can you trade this in your state?
Yes, in Ohio. Kalshi lists this market and accepts customers in Ohio. Status in Ohio: Contested (Kalshi Injunction Denied). Prediction markets in Ohio.
How to read these prices
Each contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and nothing if it does not, so a price of 62¢ means traders as a group put the chance at about 62%. Prices change with every trade.
How Kalshi settles it, Democratic Party contract: If the Democratic Party has won control of the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
More live markets
- Congress balance of power Democrats sweep 62%
- House control Democratic Party 90%
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