California Governor Race (Party) 2026: Live Market Odds

On Kalshi, Xavier Becerra (D) trades at 96% and Steve Hilton (R) at 4%.

Kalshi prices, updated Oct 19, 12:15 PM ET

OutcomeChance 1-day change
Xavier Becerra (D)
96%
0
Steve Hilton (R)
4%
0

138K contracts traded in the last 24 hours, 2.2M in total.

Can you trade this in your state?

Yes, in Ohio. Kalshi lists this market and accepts customers in Ohio. Status in Ohio: Contested (Kalshi Injunction Denied). Prediction markets in Ohio.

How to read these prices

Each contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and nothing if it does not, so a price of 62¢ means traders as a group put the chance at about 62%. Prices change with every trade.

How Kalshi settles it, Xavier Becerra (D) contract: If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

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