Iowa Senate Race 2026: Live Market Odds
On Kalshi, Ashley Hinson (R) trades at 58% and Josh Turek (D) at 43%.
Kalshi prices, updated Oct 19, 12:15 PM ET
| Outcome | Chance | 1-day change |
|---|---|---|
| Ashley Hinson (R) |
58%
|
+1 pt |
| Josh Turek (D) |
43%
|
−1 pt |
33K contracts traded in the last 24 hours, 5.6M in total.
Same race on Polymarket
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
| Ashley Hinson (R) | 58% | 59% |
| Josh Turek (D) | 43% | 43% |
Shown for comparison. Polymarket's contract ends November 4, 2026; Kalshi's resolves by January 4, 2027.
Can you trade this in your state?
Yes, in Ohio. Kalshi lists this market and accepts customers in Ohio. Status in Ohio: Contested (Kalshi Injunction Denied). Prediction markets in Ohio.
How to read these prices
Each contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and nothing if it does not, so a price of 62¢ means traders as a group put the chance at about 62%. Prices change with every trade.
How Kalshi settles it, Ashley Hinson (R) contract: If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Iowa for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
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