Maine Senate Race 2026: Live Market Odds
On Kalshi, Troy Jackson (D) trades at 60% and Susan Collins (R) at 41%.
Kalshi prices, updated Oct 19, 12:15 PM ET
| Outcome | Chance | 1-day change |
|---|---|---|
| Troy Jackson (D) |
60%
|
+1 pt |
| Susan Collins (R) |
41%
|
−1 pt |
105K contracts traded in the last 24 hours, 9.1M in total.
Same race on Polymarket
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
| Troy Jackson (D) | 60% | 62% |
| Susan Collins (R) | 41% | 39% |
Shown for comparison. Polymarket's contract ends November 4, 2026; Kalshi's resolves by January 4, 2027.
Can you trade this in your state?
Yes, in Ohio. Kalshi lists this market and accepts customers in Ohio. Status in Ohio: Contested (Kalshi Injunction Denied). Prediction markets in Ohio.
How to read these prices
Each contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and nothing if it does not, so a price of 62¢ means traders as a group put the chance at about 62%. Prices change with every trade.
How Kalshi settles it, Susan Collins (R) contract: If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Maine for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
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