VA-01 House Race 2026: Live Market Odds
On Kalshi, Shannon Taylor (D) trades at 81% and Rob Wittman (R) at 19%.
Kalshi prices, updated Nov 3, 11:35 AM ET
| Outcome | Chance | 1-day change |
|---|---|---|
| Shannon Taylor (D) |
81%
|
+17 pts |
| Rob Wittman (R) |
19%
|
−18 pts |
173K contracts traded in the last 24 hours, 609K in total.
Same race on Polymarket
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
| Shannon Taylor (D) | 81% | 82% |
| Rob Wittman (R) | 19% | 17% |
Shown for comparison. Polymarket's contract ends November 4, 2026; Kalshi's resolves by January 4, 2027.
Can you trade this in your state?
Yes, in Ohio. Kalshi lists this market and accepts customers in Ohio. Status in Ohio: Contested (Kalshi Injunction Denied). Prediction markets in Ohio.
How to read these prices
Each contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and nothing if it does not, so a price of 62¢ means traders as a group put the chance at about 62%. Prices change with every trade.
How Kalshi settles it, Shannon Taylor (D) contract: If the House member sworn in for VA-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
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