California Governor Race 2026: Live Market Odds
On Kalshi, Xavier Becerra (D) trades at 96% and Steve Hilton (R) at 4%.
Kalshi prices, updated Oct 19, 12:15 PM ET
| Outcome | Chance | 1-day change |
|---|---|---|
| Xavier Becerra (D) |
96%
|
0 |
| Steve Hilton (R) |
4%
|
0 |
245K contracts traded in the last 24 hours, 19.1M in total.
Can you trade this in your state?
Yes, in Ohio. Kalshi lists this market and accepts customers in Ohio. Status in Ohio: Contested (Kalshi Injunction Denied). Prediction markets in Ohio.
How to read these prices
Each contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and nothing if it does not, so a price of 62¢ means traders as a group put the chance at about 62%. Prices change with every trade.
How Kalshi settles it, Xavier Becerra (D) contract: If Xavier Becerra is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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