North Carolina Senate Race 2026: Live Market Odds

On Kalshi, Roy Cooper (D) trades at 96% and Michael Whatley (R) at 4%.

Kalshi prices, updated Oct 19, 12:15 PM ET

OutcomeChance 1-day change
Roy Cooper (D)
96%
0
Michael Whatley (R)
4%
−1 pt

21K contracts traded in the last 24 hours, 3.5M in total.

Same race on Polymarket

OutcomeKalshiPolymarket
Roy Cooper (D) 96%96%
Michael Whatley (R) 4%4%

Shown for comparison. Polymarket's contract ends November 4, 2026; Kalshi's resolves by January 4, 2027.

Can you trade this in your state?

Yes, in Ohio. Kalshi lists this market and accepts customers in Ohio. Status in Ohio: Contested (Kalshi Injunction Denied). Prediction markets in Ohio.

How to read these prices

Each contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and nothing if it does not, so a price of 62¢ means traders as a group put the chance at about 62%. Prices change with every trade.

How Kalshi settles it, Michael Whatley (R) contract: If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of North Carolina for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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