TX-15 House Race 2026: Live Market Odds
On Kalshi, Bobby Pulido (D) trades at 89% and Monica De La Cruz (R) at 13%.
Kalshi prices, updated Oct 21, 9:45 AM ET
| Outcome | Chance | 1-day change |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Pulido (D) |
89%
|
+5 pts |
| Monica De La Cruz (R) |
13%
|
−4 pts |
26K contracts traded in the last 24 hours, 2.4M in total.
Same race on Polymarket
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Pulido (D) | 89% | 87% |
| Monica De La Cruz (R) | 13% | 14% |
Shown for comparison. Polymarket's contract ends November 4, 2026; Kalshi's resolves by January 4, 2027.
Can you trade this in your state?
Yes, in Ohio. Kalshi lists this market and accepts customers in Ohio. Status in Ohio: Contested (Kalshi Injunction Denied). Prediction markets in Ohio.
How to read these prices
Each contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and nothing if it does not, so a price of 62¢ means traders as a group put the chance at about 62%. Prices change with every trade.
How Kalshi settles it, Bobby Pulido (D) contract: If the House member sworn in for TX-15 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
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