Alaska Governor Race 2026: Live Market Odds
On Kalshi, Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D) trades at 80% and Bernadette Wilson (R) at 20%.
Kalshi prices, updated Oct 19, 12:15 PM ET
| Outcome | Chance | 1-day change |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D) |
80%
|
−1 pt |
| Bernadette Wilson (R) |
20%
|
0 |
| Bill Walker (I) |
2%
|
0 |
| Tom Begich (D) |
1%
|
0 |
| Dave Bronson (R) |
1%
|
0 |
| Lesil McGuire (R) |
1%
|
0 |
| Treg Taylor (R) |
0.4%
|
0 |
| Mary Peltola (D) |
0.2%
|
0 |
8 more outcomes priced under 0.2% not shown.
2K contracts traded in the last 24 hours, 821K in total.
Can you trade this in your state?
Yes, in Ohio. Kalshi lists this market and accepts customers in Ohio. Status in Ohio: Contested (Kalshi Injunction Denied). Prediction markets in Ohio.
How to read these prices
Each contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and nothing if it does not, so a price of 62¢ means traders as a group put the chance at about 62%. Prices change with every trade.
How Kalshi settles it, Tom Begich (D) contract: If Tom Begich is elected the governor of Alaska pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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18+. Event contracts carry a risk of losing the money you put in. Prices reflect what traders pay, not a forecast or recommendation by MarketsGrade. For information only, not financial or legal advice.