Vermont Governor Race 2026: Live Market Odds
On Kalshi, Phil Scott (R) trades at 67% and Amanda Janoo (D) at 34%.
Kalshi prices, updated Nov 1, 11:35 PM ET
| Outcome | Chance | 1-day change |
|---|---|---|
| Phil Scott (R) |
67%
|
−10 pts |
| Amanda Janoo (D) |
34%
|
+9 pts |
244K contracts traded in the last 24 hours, 958K in total.
Same race on Polymarket
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
| Phil Scott (R) | 67% | 68% |
| Amanda Janoo (D) | 34% | 31% |
Shown for comparison. Polymarket's contract ends November 4, 2026; Kalshi's resolves by January 5, 2027.
Can you trade this in your state?
Yes, in Ohio. Kalshi lists this market and accepts customers in Ohio. Status in Ohio: Contested (Kalshi Injunction Denied). Prediction markets in Ohio.
How to read these prices
Each contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and nothing if it does not, so a price of 62¢ means traders as a group put the chance at about 62%. Prices change with every trade.
How Kalshi settles it, Amanda Janoo (D) contract: If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Vermont pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
More live markets
- Congress balance of power Democrats sweep 70%
- Senate control Democratic Party 73%
- House control Democratic Party 94%
- Prediction markets in Vermont: rules and platforms
- All 2026 midterm markets