Congress Balance Of Power 2026: Live Market Odds
On Kalshi, Democrats sweep trades at 63% and D-House, R-Senate at 29%.
Kalshi prices, updated Oct 19, 11:05 AM ET
| Outcome | Chance | 1-day change |
|---|---|---|
| Democrats sweep |
63%
|
+2 pts |
| D-House, R-Senate |
29%
|
0 |
| Republicans sweep |
11%
|
0 |
| R-House, D-Senate |
0.7%
|
0 |
537K contracts traded in the last 24 hours, 42.4M in total.
Can you trade this in your state?
Yes, in Ohio. Kalshi lists this market and accepts customers in Ohio. Status in Ohio: Contested (Kalshi Injunction Denied). Prediction markets in Ohio.
How to read these prices
Each contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and nothing if it does not, so a price of 62¢ means traders as a group put the chance at about 62%. Prices change with every trade.
How Kalshi settles it, Democrats sweep contract: If ALL of the following occur: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
More live markets
- Senate control Democratic Party 62%
- House control Democratic Party 90%
- All 2026 midterm markets
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