Oregon Governor Race 2026: Live Market Odds
On Kalshi, Tina Kotek (D) trades at 99.8% and Christine Drazan (R) at 0.2%.
Kalshi prices, updated Nov 4, 2:15 AM ET
| Outcome | Chance | 1-day change |
|---|---|---|
| Tina Kotek (D) |
99.8%
|
+18 pts |
| Christine Drazan (R) |
0.2%
|
−19 pts |
1.3M contracts traded in the last 24 hours, 2.2M in total.
Same race on Polymarket
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
| Tina Kotek (D) | 99.8% | 99.9% |
| Christine Drazan (R) | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Shown for comparison. Polymarket's contract ends November 4, 2026; Kalshi's resolves by January 9, 2027.
Can you trade this in your state?
Yes, in Ohio. Kalshi lists this market and accepts customers in Ohio. Status in Ohio: Contested (Kalshi Injunction Denied). Prediction markets in Ohio.
How to read these prices
Each contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and nothing if it does not, so a price of 62¢ means traders as a group put the chance at about 62%. Prices change with every trade.
How Kalshi settles it, Tina Kotek (D) contract: If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Oregon pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.