Montana Senate Race 2026: Live Market Odds
On Kalshi, Kurt Alme (R) trades at 89% and Seth Bodnar (I) at 10%.
Kalshi prices, updated Oct 19, 12:15 PM ET
| Outcome | Chance | 1-day change |
|---|---|---|
| Kurt Alme (R) |
89%
|
−1 pt |
| Seth Bodnar (I) |
10%
|
0 |
| Alani Bankhead (D) |
0.8%
|
0 |
14K contracts traded in the last 24 hours, 914K in total.
Can you trade this in your state?
Yes, in Ohio. Kalshi lists this market and accepts customers in Ohio. Status in Ohio: Contested (Kalshi Injunction Denied). Prediction markets in Ohio.
How to read these prices
Each contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and nothing if it does not, so a price of 62¢ means traders as a group put the chance at about 62%. Prices change with every trade.
How Kalshi settles it, Kurt Alme (R) contract: If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Montana for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
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18+. Event contracts carry a risk of losing the money you put in. Prices reflect what traders pay, not a forecast or recommendation by MarketsGrade. For information only, not financial or legal advice.