Texas Governor Race 2026: Live Market Odds
On Kalshi, Greg Abbott (R) trades at 76% and Gina Hinojosa (D) at 24%.
Kalshi prices, updated Oct 19, 12:05 PM ET
| Outcome | Chance | 1-day change |
|---|---|---|
| Greg Abbott (R) |
76%
|
0 |
| Gina Hinojosa (D) |
24%
|
−1 pt |
74K contracts traded in the last 24 hours, 2.5M in total.
Same race on Polymarket
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
| Greg Abbott (R) | 76% | 75% |
| Gina Hinojosa (D) | 24% | 25% |
Shown for comparison. Polymarket's contract ends November 4, 2026; Kalshi's resolves by January 20, 2027.
Can you trade this in your state?
Yes, in Ohio. Kalshi lists this market and accepts customers in Ohio. Status in Ohio: Contested (Kalshi Injunction Denied). Prediction markets in Ohio.
How to read these prices
Each contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and nothing if it does not, so a price of 62¢ means traders as a group put the chance at about 62%. Prices change with every trade.
How Kalshi settles it, Gina Hinojosa (D) contract: If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Texas pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
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