Florida Senate Race 2026: Live Market Odds
On Kalshi, Ashley Moody (R) trades at 88% and Angie Nixon (D) at 12%.
Kalshi prices, updated Oct 21, 8:35 PM ET
| Outcome | Chance | 1-day change |
|---|---|---|
| Ashley Moody (R) |
88%
|
−3 pts |
| Angie Nixon (D) |
12%
|
+1 pt |
93K contracts traded in the last 24 hours, 1.7M in total.
Same race on Polymarket
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
| Ashley Moody (R) | 88% | 91% |
| Angie Nixon (D) | 12% | 10% |
Shown for comparison. Polymarket's contract ends November 4, 2026; Kalshi's resolves by January 4, 2027.
Can you trade this in your state?
Yes, in Ohio. Kalshi lists this market and accepts customers in Ohio. Status in Ohio: Contested (Kalshi Injunction Denied). Prediction markets in Ohio.
How to read these prices
Each contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and nothing if it does not, so a price of 62¢ means traders as a group put the chance at about 62%. Prices change with every trade.
How Kalshi settles it, Ashley Moody (R) contract: If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Florida for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
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