Tennessee Governor Race 2026: Live Market Odds
On Kalshi, Marsha Blackburn (R) trades at 93% and Jerri Green (D) at 6%.
Kalshi prices, updated Oct 19, 12:15 PM ET
| Outcome | Chance | 1-day change |
|---|---|---|
| Marsha Blackburn (R) |
93%
|
+1 pt |
| Jerri Green (D) |
6%
|
−2 pts |
| David Hatley (I) |
4%
|
+1 pt |
29K contracts traded in the last 24 hours, 183K in total.
Same race on Polymarket
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
| Marsha Blackburn (R) | 93% | 94% |
| Jerri Green (D) | 6% | 5% |
Shown for comparison. Polymarket's contract ends November 4, 2026; Kalshi's resolves by January 19, 2027.
Can you trade this in your state?
Yes, in Ohio. Kalshi lists this market and accepts customers in Ohio. Status in Ohio: Contested (Kalshi Injunction Denied). Prediction markets in Ohio.
How to read these prices
Each contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and nothing if it does not, so a price of 62¢ means traders as a group put the chance at about 62%. Prices change with every trade.
How Kalshi settles it, Jerri Green (D) contract: If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Tennessee pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
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