Tennessee Senate Race 2026: Live Market Odds
On Kalshi, Bill Hagerty (R) trades at 96% and Marquita Bradshaw (D) at 4%.
Kalshi prices, updated Oct 19, 12:15 PM ET
| Outcome | Chance | 1-day change |
|---|---|---|
| Bill Hagerty (R) |
96%
|
0 |
| Marquita Bradshaw (D) |
4%
|
−1 pt |
15K contracts traded in the last 24 hours, 435K in total.
Same race on Polymarket
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
| Bill Hagerty (R) | 96% | 96% |
| Marquita Bradshaw (D) | 4% | 4% |
Shown for comparison. Polymarket's contract ends November 4, 2026; Kalshi's resolves by January 4, 2027.
Can you trade this in your state?
Yes, in Ohio. Kalshi lists this market and accepts customers in Ohio. Status in Ohio: Contested (Kalshi Injunction Denied). Prediction markets in Ohio.
How to read these prices
Each contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and nothing if it does not, so a price of 62¢ means traders as a group put the chance at about 62%. Prices change with every trade.
How Kalshi settles it, Bill Hagerty (R) contract: If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Tennessee for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
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