Idaho Senate Race 2026: Live Market Odds

On Kalshi, Jim Risch (R) trades at 87% and Todd Achilles (I) at 11%.

Kalshi prices, updated Oct 22, 9:25 AM ET

OutcomeChance 1-day change
Jim Risch (R)
87%
−7 pts
Todd Achilles (I)
11%
+5 pts
David Roth (D)
0.3%
0

223K contracts traded in the last 24 hours, 678K in total.

Can you trade this in your state?

Yes, in Ohio. Kalshi lists this market and accepts customers in Ohio. Status in Ohio: Contested (Kalshi Injunction Denied). Prediction markets in Ohio.

How to read these prices

Each contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and nothing if it does not, so a price of 62¢ means traders as a group put the chance at about 62%. Prices change with every trade.

How Kalshi settles it, Jim Risch (R) contract: If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Idaho for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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