AZ-06 House Race 2026: Live Market Odds
On Kalshi, JoAnna Mendoza (D) trades at 99.4% and Juan Ciscomani (R) at 0.8%.
Kalshi prices, updated Nov 5, 2:15 PM ET
| Outcome | Chance | 1-day change |
|---|---|---|
| JoAnna Mendoza (D) |
99.4%
|
0 |
| Juan Ciscomani (R) |
0.8%
|
0 |
613 contracts traded in the last 24 hours, 119K in total.
Same race on Polymarket
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
| JoAnna Mendoza (D) | 99.4% | 99.1% |
| Juan Ciscomani (R) | 0.8% | 0.9% |
Shown for comparison. Polymarket's contract ends November 4, 2026; Kalshi's resolves by January 4, 2027.
Can you trade this in your state?
Yes, in Ohio. Kalshi lists this market and accepts customers in Ohio. Status in Ohio: Contested (Kalshi Injunction Denied). Prediction markets in Ohio.
How to read these prices
Each contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and nothing if it does not, so a price of 62¢ means traders as a group put the chance at about 62%. Prices change with every trade.
How Kalshi settles it, JoAnna Mendoza (D) contract: If the House member sworn in for AZ-06 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.