Alaska House Race 2026: Live Market Odds
On Kalshi, Republican Party trades at 83% and Bill Hill (I) at 14%.
Kalshi prices, updated Nov 4, 2:15 AM ET
| Outcome | Chance | 1-day change |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Party |
83%
|
+4 pts |
| Bill Hill (I) |
14%
|
−9 pts |
| Democratic Party |
0.1%
|
−1 pt |
95K contracts traded in the last 24 hours, 208K in total.
Can you trade this in your state?
Yes, in Ohio. Kalshi lists this market and accepts customers in Ohio. Status in Ohio: Contested (Kalshi Injunction Denied). Prediction markets in Ohio.
How to read these prices
Each contract pays $1 if its outcome happens and nothing if it does not, so a price of 62¢ means traders as a group put the chance at about 62%. Prices change with every trade.
How Kalshi settles it, Democratic Party contract: If a member of the Democratic party is sworn in for AK-AL for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
More live markets
- Alaska Senate race Democratic Party 82%
- Alaska Governor race Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D) 99%
- Prediction markets in Alaska: rules and platforms
- All 2026 midterm markets
18+. Event contracts carry a risk of losing the money you put in. Prices reflect what traders pay, not a forecast or recommendation by MarketsGrade. For information only, not financial or legal advice.