World Cup 2026 Odds
Live prediction market odds for FIFA World Cup 2026 — tournament winner, group outcomes, and match markets as they open. Updated continuously from Kalshi and Polymarket.
Tournament dates: June 11 – July 19, 2026 · 48 teams · 104 matches · US, Mexico, Canada
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Kalshi
CFTC-regulated · US legal · All 50 states
WC futures open now →
DraftKings Predictions
State-licensed · Best match coverage
Opens June →
Polymarket
Highest global volume · Non-US only
WC futures open now →
Live Prediction Market Odds
All markets across platforms — World Cup soccer markets appear as they open closer to June 11.
World Cup 2026 Market Timeline
| When | Markets That Open | Best Platform |
|---|---|---|
| Now | Tournament winner futures | Kalshi |
| May 2026 | Group stage winners, bracket markets | Kalshi |
| June 11 | Match-by-match markets, live in-play | DraftKings |
| June 26+ | Knockout rounds, player awards | Kalshi + DraftKings |
| July 19 | Final match markets settle | All platforms |
How to Read These Odds
Prediction market odds represent probability, not a payout multiplier. A contract priced at 25¢ implies a 25% chance of that outcome occurring.
- → Buy Yes if you think the probability is higher than the current price
- → Buy No if you think the probability is lower than the current price
- → Every contract settles at $1.00 (outcome happens) or $0.00 (outcome doesn't happen)
Frequently Asked Questions
Where can I find World Cup 2026 prediction market odds?
Kalshi has tournament winner and group outcome odds live now. DraftKings Predictions will add match-level markets as the June 11 opener approaches. You can track and compare current platform odds using the live odds tool on this page.
What do the odds numbers mean on prediction markets?
Prices represent probability. A 'Yes' price of 28% means the market implies a 28% chance the event happens. If you buy at 28¢ and the outcome occurs, you collect $1.00 — a $0.72 profit per contract.
How often are World Cup odds updated on prediction markets?
Major platform odds update continuously as trades occur. Kalshi and Polymarket prices move in real time based on order flow. This tool updates every 10 minutes.
Which World Cup team has the best odds to win in 2026?
As of mid-2026 pre-tournament trading, Brazil, France, England, and Argentina are typically the top contenders by implied probability. Check the live markets on Kalshi for the most current prices.